I got plenty of guesses wrong on things in the past as well. I don't want to pretend I have some great insight... But when the global financial crisis came along in 2008 it was scary times if you were in the middle of building $5 billion buildings. It wasn't perfect... I think that I am the luckiest person in Australia.
The history of media is the market share of advertising dollars has followed.. albeit with a lag.
I'm a great believer in new technology and I think new technology is very scary for newspaper companies.