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Probability is not about the odds, but about the belief in the existence of an alternative outcome, cause, or motive.

Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Odds, Alternatives, Outcomes
Nassim Nicholas Taleb (2007). “Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets”, p.224, Penguin UK
Probability is not about the odds, but about the belief in the existence of an alternative outcome, cause, or motive.