Nassim Nicholas Taleb Quotes about Understanding

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Prediction, not narration, is the real test of our understanding of the world.

Prediction, not narration, is the real test of our understanding of the world.

Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Real, Understanding, World

Nassim Nicholas Taleb (2010). “The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable Fragility"”, p.133, Random House

The narrative fallacy addresses our limited ability to look at sequences of facts without weaving an explanation into them, or, equivalently, forcing a logical link, an arrow of relationship, upon them. Explanations bind facts together. They make them all the more easily remembered; they help them make more sense. Where this propensity can go wrong is when it increases our impression of understanding.

Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Arrows, Understanding, Together

Nassim Nicholas Taleb (2016). “Incerto 4-Book Bundle: Fooled by Randomness The Black Swan The Bed of Procrustes Antifragile”, p.860, Random House