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  4. Arnold J. Toynbee
  5. Of the twenty or so civilizations known to modern Western...

Of the twenty or so civilizations known to modern Western historians, all except our own appear to be dead or moribund, and, when we diagnose each case... we invariably find that the cause of death has been either War or Class or some combination of the two.

Arnold J. Toynbee
War, Civilization, Class
Arnold J. Toynbee (1949). “Civilization on Trial”
Of the twenty or so civilizations known to modern Western historians, all except our own appear to be dead or moribund, and, when we diagnose each case... we invariably find that the cause of death has been either War